Convexly

An independent audit layer for prediction-market wallets that rebuilds a wallet's complete resolved record from Polygon and provides a block-anchored completeness proof. It separates skill from luck by computing an Edge Score with confidence intervals, helping users evaluate trader performance. The product targets prediction-market traders, prop desks, research teams, and data vendors needing defensible, independent reads. It is delivered as a SaaS platform with a free tier and enterprise options, emphasizing open methodology and published negative results.

Key features

• Wallet Analyzer
• Brier Score Calculator
• Edge Score composite
• Confidence intervals
• Block-anchored completeness proof
• Public methodology
• Negative results registry
• Audit chain verifier